Prediction markets are emerging as a new class of financial platform.
Adoption has exploded: volumes on the largest venues totalled about $51
billion last year and are on pace for roughly $240 billion this year,
while Bernstein projects $1 trillion a year by 2030. However, traders
often act on pure intuition, without the relevant news, statistics, and
data in front of them. Financial professionals solved this problem
decades ago with platforms such as the Bloomberg Terminal, which
aggregate information into a single decision-making environment.
Prediction markets lack an equivalent tool.
We are building that platform, and there is a working version
available now. The idea is to create a place where you can instantly
access the relevant news, statistical models, historical outcomes,
market context, and prices across multiple exchanges for any contract.
By reducing information friction, it helps participants make more
informed forecasts and improves market efficiency.
The big caveat: for this beta version, both the
order book and the exchanges are synthetic. Everything about the world
is real — questions, categories, settlement rules, models — but the
quotes are generated because we are still in the process of obtaining
permission to distribute real market data. (If you know someone who can
help speed up the process, please reach out!)
Looking for: beta users with backgrounds in trading
on prediction markets. You could be a seasoned or casual trader; we
welcome all suggestions. Let us know what features are missing or if you
find any bugs. There is a feedback button on the dashboard, or you can
email us at [email protected].
On access: no email, no OAuth, nothing to verify
and no cost, because I do not want to hold anyone’s personal data. If
you have a signup code from one of our posts, use it at
/join and pick your own username and
password — good for 30 days from first sign-in, after which the account
deletes itself. There is no password reset, because there is no address
to send one to, so save the password somewhere. Questions are welcome
on X at
@MiddlemenDev,
— though you no longer need to ask us for anything to get in.